Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

Fuld beskrivelse

Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Eicher, Theo
Andre forfattere: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF