Deus ex Machina? : A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning /

We develop a framework to nowcast (and forecast) economic variables with machine learning techniques. We explain how machine learning methods can address common shortcomings of traditional OLS-based models and use several machine learning models to predict real output growth with lower forecast erro...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Bolhuis, Marijn
Outros Autores: Rayner, Brett
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
coleção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/045
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF