Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? : Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs /
We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money improves fo...
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| Формат: | Журнал |
| Язык: | English |
| Опубликовано: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2008.
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| Серии: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2008/053 |
| Online-ссылка: | Full text available on IMF |