Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity : An Empirical Exercise on the Indian Economy /

There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yield spread in the government securities market to movements in the index of industrial...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Goyal, Rajan
Otros Autores: Kanagasabapathy, K.
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/091
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
Descripción
Sumario:There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yield spread in the government securities market to movements in the index of industrial production. The results show that yield spread could, inter alia, be considered as a leading indicator of industrial activity in India.
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Descripción Física:1 online resource (20 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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