Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity : An Empirical Exercise on the Indian Economy /

There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yield spread in the government securities market to movements in the index of industrial...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Goyal, Rajan
Other Authors: Kanagasabapathy, K.
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/091
Online Access:Full text available on IMF