We Just Averaged over Two Trillion Cross-Country Growth Regressions /

We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian model averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is distributed among many models, suggesting the superiority of BMA over any single model. Out-of-sample predictive results support that clai...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Steel, Mark
Other Authors: Ley, Eduardo
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/101
Online Access:Full text available on IMF