Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation /
Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cross-country panel of growth forecasts and new methodological insights, this paper finds...
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Format: | Journal |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2010.
|
Series: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2010/178 |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | Full text available on IMF |