Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation /
Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cross-country panel of growth forecasts and new methodological insights, this paper finds...
| Autor principal: | |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Periódico |
| Idioma: | English |
| Publicado em: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2010.
|
| coleção: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2010/178 |
| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | Full text available on IMF |