Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis /
We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a zero floor, and bank lending tightening affects the United States. To calculate confidence intervals...
| 1. autor: | |
|---|---|
| Kolejni autorzy: | , , |
| Format: | Czasopismo |
| Język: | English |
| Wydane: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2009.
|
| Seria: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2009/214 |
| Dostęp online: | Full text available on IMF |