Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis /
We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a zero floor, and bank lending tightening affects the United States. To calculate confidence intervals...
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| 其他作者: | , , |
| 格式: | 杂志 |
| 语言: | English |
| 出版: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2009.
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| 丛编: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2009/214 |
| 在线阅读: | Full text available on IMF |