Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis /

We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a zero floor, and bank lending tightening affects the United States. To calculate confidence intervals...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Clinton, Kevin
Beste egile batzuk: Chen, Huigang, Johnson, Marianne, Kamenik, Ondrej
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/214
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF