Forecasting Commodity Prices : Futures Versus Judgment /

This paper assesses the performance of three types of commodity price forecasts-those based on judgment, those relying exclusively on historical price data, and those incorporating prices implied by commodity futures. For most of the 15 commodities in the sample, spot and futures prices appear to be...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Husain, Aasim
Drugi avtorji: Bowman, Chakriya
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2004.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2004/041
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF