Forecasting Commodity Prices : Futures Versus Judgment /

This paper assesses the performance of three types of commodity price forecasts-those based on judgment, those relying exclusively on historical price data, and those incorporating prices implied by commodity futures. For most of the 15 commodities in the sample, spot and futures prices appear to be...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Husain, Aasim
Diğer Yazarlar: Bowman, Chakriya
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2004.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2004/041
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF