Assessing Target Zone Credibility : Mean Reversion and Devaluation Expectations in the EMS /

The paper presents estimates of devaluation expectations for six EMS currencies relative to the Deutsche mark, for the period March 1979-May 1990. The estimation method is simple and operational, and consistently generates sensible results. The estimates are constructed by the adjusting interest rat...

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Autor principal: Svensson, Lars
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1991.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1991/096
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF