Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes /

This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on whethe...

תיאור מלא

מידע ביבליוגרפי
מחבר ראשי: Perraudin, W.
מחברים אחרים: Kumar, Manmohan, Moorthy, Uma
פורמט: כתב-עת
שפה:English
יצא לאור: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
סדרה:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/007
גישה מקוונת:Full text available on IMF