A Simple Forecasting Accuracy Criterion Under Rational Expectations : Evidence From the World Economic Outlook and Time Series Models /
A simple criterion based on the properties of the forecast error is presented to evaluate the accuracy of forecasts. The efficiency conditions of an optimization problem are used to show that under rational expectations the standard statistical conditions are necessary, but not sufficient to ensure...
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| Natura: | Periodico |
| Lingua: | English |
| Pubblicazione: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
1992.
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| Serie: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 1992/048 |
| Accesso online: | Full text available on IMF |