How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts : Cross-Country Evidence From Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth /

This paper evaluates the performance of Consensus Forecasts of GDP growth for industrialized and developing countries from 1989 to 1998. The questions addressed are (1) How do forecast errors differ across industrialized and developing countries? (2) How well do forecasters predict recessions? (3) A...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Loungani, Prakash
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2000.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2000/077
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF