Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting /

Imposing cointegration on a forecasting system, if cointegration is present, is believed to improve long-horizon forecasts. Contrary to this belief, at long horizons nothing is lost by ignoring cointegration when the forecasts are evaluated using standard multivariate forecast accuracy measures. In...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Diebold, Francis
Other Authors: Christoffersen, Peter
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1997.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1997/061
Subjects:
Online Access:Full text available on IMF