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|a 1018-5941
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|a MacDonald, Margaux.
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|a Financial Sector and Economic Growth in India /
|c Margaux MacDonald, TengTeng Xu.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2022.
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|a 1 online resource (30 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a India's financial sector has faced many challenges in recent decades, with a large, negative, and persistent credit to GDP gap since 2012. We examine how cyclical financial conditions affect GDP growth using a growth-at-risk (GaR) approach and analyze the link between bank balance sheets, credit growth, and long-term growth using bank-level panel regressions for both public and private banks. We find that on a cyclical basis, a negative shock to credit or a rise in macro vulnerability all shift the distribution of growth to the left, with lower expected growth and higher negative tail risks; over the long term, the results indicate that higher credit growth, arising from better capitalized banks with lower NPLs, is associated with higher GDP growth.
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|a Forecasting and Other Model Applications
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|a Micro Finance Institutions
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|a Xu, TengTeng.
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2022/137
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=137
|z IMF e-Library
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