Exchange-Rate Swings and Foreign Currency Intervention /

This paper develops a new approach for exploring the effectiveness of foreign currency intervention, focusing on real exchange cycles. Using band spectrum regression methods, it examines the role of macroeconomic fundamentals in determining the equilibrium real exchange rate at short-, medium-, and...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Filardo, Andrew
Drugi avtorji: Gelos, R., McGregor, Thomas
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2022/158
Teme:
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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300 |a 1 online resource (41 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper develops a new approach for exploring the effectiveness of foreign currency intervention, focusing on real exchange cycles. Using band spectrum regression methods, it examines the role of macroeconomic fundamentals in determining the equilibrium real exchange rate at short-, medium-, and low frequencies. Next, it assesses the effectiveness of FX intervention depending on the degree of cycle-specific misalignments for 26 advanced- and emerging market economies, covering the period 1990-2018, and using different techniques to mitigate endogeneity concerns. Evidence supports the hypothesis that central banks can lean effectively against short-run cyclical misalignments of the real exchange rate. The effects are present in quarterly data-i.e., at policy-relevant horizons. The effectiveness of intervention rises with the size of the misalignment, and with the duration of one-sided interventions. FX sales appear to be somewhat more effective than FX purchases, and intervention is less effective in more liquid FX markets. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Business Fluctuations  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Central Banks and Their Policies  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Foreign Exchange  |2 imf 
650 7 |a International Finance Forecasting and Simulation  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Gelos, R. 
700 1 |a McGregor, Thomas. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2022/158 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=158  |z IMF e-Library