Inflation Dynamics in Advanced Economies : A Decomposition into Cyclical and Non-Cyclical Factors /

Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i) both the cyclical and non-cyclical parts had surges across adv...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Lian, Weicheng
Andre forfattere: Freitag, Andreas.
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2022/091
Fag:
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Lian, Weicheng. 
245 1 0 |a Inflation Dynamics in Advanced Economies :   |b A Decomposition into Cyclical and Non-Cyclical Factors /  |c Weicheng Lian, Andreas Freitag. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2022. 
300 |a 1 online resource (35 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i) both the cyclical and non-cyclical parts had surges across advaced economies in 2011, when unemployment rates had limited changes; (ii) the non-cyclical part had a downward trend between 2012 and 2019, which existed across countries, sectors, goods, and services; (iii) global indexes such as oil price, shipping costs, and a global supply chain pressure index do not explain the downward trend; and (iv) the cyclical part, after controlling for the impact of economic slack, also had a downward trend between 2012 and 2019. These patterns help disentangle competing explanations for the disconnect between inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the pandemic and in the post-pandemic period ahead. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Business Fluctuations  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Deflation  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Inflation  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Price Level  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Freitag, Andreas.. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2022/091 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=091  |z IMF e-Library