Public Debt and Real GDP : Revisiting the Impact /
This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public deb...
| LEADER | 07767cas a2200793 a 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | AALejournalIMF022718 | ||
| 008 | 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d | ||
| 020 | |c 20.00 USD | ||
| 020 | |z 9798400207082 | ||
| 022 | |a 1018-5941 | ||
| 040 | |a BD-DhAAL |c BD-DhAAL | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a de Soyres, Constance. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Public Debt and Real GDP : |b Revisiting the Impact / |c Constance de Soyres, Reina Kawai, Mengxue Wang. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Washington, D.C. : |b International Monetary Fund, |c 2022. | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (55 pages) | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a IMF Working Papers | |
| 500 | |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required | ||
| 500 | |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required | ||
| 506 | |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public debt for 178 countries over 1995-2020, we find that the impact of an unanticipated increase in public debt on the real GDP level is generally negative and varies depending on other fundamental characteristics. Specifically, an unanticipated increase in the public debt to GDP ratio hurts real GDP level for countries that have (i) a high initial debt level or (ii) a rising debt trajectory over the five preceding years. On the contrary, an unanticipated increase in public debt boosts real GDP for countries that have (iii) a low-income level or (iv) completed the HIPC debt relief initiative. | |
| 538 | |a Mode of access: Internet | ||
| 650 | 7 | |a Fiscal Policy |2 imf | |
| 650 | 7 | |a International Factor Movements and International Business |2 imf | |
| 650 | 7 | |a International Finance |2 imf | |
| 650 | 7 | |a International Investment |2 imf | |
| 650 | 7 | |a International Lending and Debt Problems |2 imf | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Long-Term Capital Movements |2 imf | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Kawai, Reina. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Wang, Mengxue. | |
| 830 | 0 | |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; |v No. 2022/076 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=076 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=100 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=101 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=102 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=103 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=104 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=105 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=106 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=107 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=108 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=109 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=110 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=111 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=112 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=113 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=114 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=115 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=150 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=151 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=152 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=153 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=154 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=155 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=156 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=157 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=158 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=159 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=160 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=161 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=162 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=163 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=164 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=165 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1934-7685&volume=2022&issue=166 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=2075-8669&volume=2022&issue=003 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=2522-7912&volume=2022&issue=002 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=2663-3493&volume=2022&issue=028 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=2664-5912&volume=2022&issue=006 |z IMF e-Library |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Full text available on IMF |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/068/2022/001/068.2022.issue-001-en.xml |z IMF e-Library |