Fiscal Multipliers and Informality /

This paper investigates the role of informality in affecting the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier in a panel of 141 countries, using the local projections method. We find a strong negative relationship between the degree of informality and the size of the fiscal multiplier. This result holds irres...

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书目详细资料
主要作者: Colombo, Emilio
其他作者: Furceri, Davide, Pizzuto, Pietro, Tirelli, Patrizio
格式: 杂志
语言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022.
丛编:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2022/082
主题:
在线阅读:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Fiscal Multipliers and Informality /  |c Emilio Colombo, Davide Furceri, Pietro Pizzuto, Patrizio Tirelli. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2022. 
300 |a 1 online resource (73 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper investigates the role of informality in affecting the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier in a panel of 141 countries, using the local projections method. We find a strong negative relationship between the degree of informality and the size of the fiscal multiplier. This result holds irrespective of the levels of economic development and institutional quality and is robust to additional country characteristics such as trade, financial openness and exchange rate regime. In a two-sector new- Keynesian model, we rationalize this result by showing that fiscal shocks raise the relative price of official goods, shifting demand towards the informal sector. This reallocation effect increases with the level of informality, because a larger informal sector is associated with a stronger appreciation of relative prices in response to fiscal shocks. Thus, informality raises the size of the unofficial multiplier. A higher degree of non-separability between public and private goods also contributes to rationalize the lower multipliers in high-informality countries. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Informal Economy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Time-Series Models  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Underground Econom  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Furceri, Davide. 
700 1 |a Pizzuto, Pietro. 
700 1 |a Tirelli, Patrizio. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2022/082 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2022&issue=082  |z IMF e-Library