Estimating the Employment and GDP Multiplier of Emergency Cash Transfers in Brazil /

We estimate the subnational employment and GDP multiplier of Brazil's 2020 federal cash transfers to vulnerable households. Using two-stage least squares regressions we estimate a formal employment multiplier and then apply an analytical transformation to recover an implied GDP multiplier in th...

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Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteur: Cunha, Daniel
Andere auteurs: Accioly Perrelli, Roberto, Pereira, Joana, Toscani, Frederik
Formaat: Tijdschrift
Taal:English
Gepubliceerd in: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022.
Reeks:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2022/055
Onderwerpen:
Online toegang:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Estimating the Employment and GDP Multiplier of Emergency Cash Transfers in Brazil /  |c Daniel Cunha, Joana Pereira, Roberto Accioly Perrelli, Frederik Toscani. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2022. 
300 |a 1 online resource (39 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a We estimate the subnational employment and GDP multiplier of Brazil's 2020 federal cash transfers to vulnerable households. Using two-stage least squares regressions we estimate a formal employment multiplier and then apply an analytical transformation to recover an implied GDP multiplier in the range of 0.5-1.5. The lower bound of this range lies below most estimates in the literature, which may result from the exceptional constraints imposed by the pandemic on supply chains and consumption. Nevertheless, even using the lower end of our range implies that federal cash transfers played an important role in supporting employment and GDP. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Finance in Urban and Rural Economies  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Fiscal Multipliers, Household Cash Transfers and Labor Informality  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Fiscal Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Accioly Perrelli, Roberto. 
700 1 |a Pereira, Joana. 
700 1 |a Toscani, Frederik. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2022/055 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2022/055/001.2022.issue-055-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library