Trust What You Hear : Policy Communication, Expectations, and Fiscal Credibility /

How do policy communications on future f iscal targets af fect market expectations and beliefs about the future conduct of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy announcements anchor expectations, based on the deviation of...

Повний опис

Бібліографічні деталі
Автор: End, Nicolas
Інші автори: Hong, Gee Hee
Формат: Журнал
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022.
Серія:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2022/036
Предмети:
Онлайн доступ:Full text available on IMF
LEADER 02139cas a2200313 a 4500
001 AALejournalIMF022491
008 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d
020 |c 5.00 USD 
020 |z 9798400200748 
022 |a 1018-5941 
040 |a BD-DhAAL  |c BD-DhAAL 
100 1 |a End, Nicolas. 
245 1 0 |a Trust What You Hear :   |b Policy Communication, Expectations, and Fiscal Credibility /  |c Nicolas End, Gee Hee Hong. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2022. 
300 |a 1 online resource (59 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a How do policy communications on future f iscal targets af fect market expectations and beliefs about the future conduct of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy announcements anchor expectations, based on the deviation of private expectations f rom official targets, for 41 countries. We find that policy announcements partly re-anchor expectations and that f iscal rules and strong fiscal institutions, as well as a good policy track record, contribute to magnifying this effect, thereby improving fiscal credibility. Conversely, empirical analysis suggests that markets reward credibility with more favorable sovereign financing conditions. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Fiscal Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Studies of Particular Policy Episodes  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Hong, Gee Hee. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2022/036 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2022/036/001.2022.issue-036-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library