The COVID-19 Impact on Corporate Leverage and Financial Fragility /

We study the impact of the COVID-19 recession on capital structure of publicly listed U.S. firms. Our estimates suggest leverage (Net Debt/Asset) decreased by 5.3 percentage points from the pre-shock mean of 19.6 percent, while debt maturity increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is stronge...

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書目詳細資料
主要作者: Haque, Sharjil
其他作者: Varghese, Richard
格式: 雜誌
語言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
叢編:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/265
主題:
在線閱讀:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Haque, Sharjil. 
245 1 4 |a The COVID-19 Impact on Corporate Leverage and Financial Fragility /  |c Sharjil Haque, Richard Varghese. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2021. 
300 |a 1 online resource (51 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We study the impact of the COVID-19 recession on capital structure of publicly listed U.S. firms. Our estimates suggest leverage (Net Debt/Asset) decreased by 5.3 percentage points from the pre-shock mean of 19.6 percent, while debt maturity increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is stronger for firms exposed to significant rollover risk, while firms whose businesses were most vulnerable to social distancing did not reduce leverage. We rationalize our evidence through a structural model of firm value that shows lower expected growth rate and higher volatility of cash flows following COVID-19 reduced optimal levels of corporate leverage. Model-implied optimal leverage indicates firms which did not de-lever became over-leveraged. We find default probability deteriorates most in large, over-leveraged firms and those that were stressed pre-COVID. Additional stress tests predict value of these firms will be less than one standard deviation away from default if cash flows decline by 20 percent. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Capital and Ownership Structure  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Corporate Finance and Governance  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financial Economics  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financial Risk and Risk Management  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financing Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a General Financial Markets  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Varghese, Richard. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2021/265 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/265/001.2021.issue-265-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library