Debt Dynamics in Emerging and Developing Economies : Is R-G a Red Herring? /

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, debt levels in emerging and developing economies have surged raising concerns about fiscal sustainability. Historically, negative interest-growth differentials in these countries have played a debt-stabilizing role. But is this enough to prevent countries from f...

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গ্রন্থ-পঞ্জীর বিবরন
প্রধান লেখক: Moreno Badia, Marialuz
অন্যান্য লেখক: Gamboa-Arbelaez, Juliana, Xiang, Yuan
বিন্যাস: পত্রিকা
ভাষা:English
প্রকাশিত: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
মালা:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/229
বিষয়গুলি:
অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Debt Dynamics in Emerging and Developing Economies :   |b Is R-G a Red Herring? /  |c Marialuz Moreno Badia, Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez, Yuan Xiang. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2021. 
300 |a 1 online resource (38 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, debt levels in emerging and developing economies have surged raising concerns about fiscal sustainability. Historically, negative interest-growth differentials in these countries have played a debt-stabilizing role. But is this enough to prevent countries from falling into debt distress? Drawing from a sample of 150 emerging and developing economies going back to the 1970s, we find that interest-growth differentials have remained relatively low, dampening debt increases in the run up to a crisis. But in the face of persistent primary deficits, debt service tends to rise abruptly-particularly in emerging markets-and a fiscal crisis ensues. There is also evidence that a large part of the debt build-up around crises stems from valuation effects associated with external debt and the materialization of contingent liabilities. These findings underscore that, though not necessarily a red-herring, low interest-growth differentials cannot fully offset the deleterious effects of large fiscal deficits, forex exposures, or hidden debts. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Debt Management  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Debt  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Fiscal Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a International Lending and Debt Problems  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Sovereign Debt  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Gamboa-Arbelaez, Juliana. 
700 1 |a Xiang, Yuan. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2021/229 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/229/001.2021.issue-229-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library