What Shapes Current Account Adjustment During Recessions? /

This paper studies the dynamics of external accounts during 278 economic recession events in the past 60 years and sheds light on key factors that shape these patterns. Economic recessions trigger highly-persistent increases in the current account, driven by an initial, sharp decline in investment a...

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প্রধান লেখক: Kolerus, Christina
বিন্যাস: পত্রিকা
ভাষা:English
প্রকাশিত: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
মালা:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/198
বিষয়গুলি:
অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Kolerus, Christina. 
245 1 0 |a What Shapes Current Account Adjustment During Recessions? /  |c Christina Kolerus. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2021. 
300 |a 1 online resource (38 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper studies the dynamics of external accounts during 278 economic recession events in the past 60 years and sheds light on key factors that shape these patterns. Economic recessions trigger highly-persistent increases in the current account, driven by an initial, sharp decline in investment and fueled by medium term deleveraging, more so in advanced economies than in emerging markets. The strengthening of the current account is more pronounced when internal and external imbalances are present, and less when recessions are synchronized across countries. During severe natural disasters or epidemics, however, current accounts tend to weaken in the short term. Consistent with these findings, the COVID-19 shock, with comparatively moderate pre-existing imbalances yet high synchronization, had a muted effect on current account balances. The compositional changes, however, were unique and driven by unprecedented policy intervention, with record public dissaving more than offsetting exceptional private saving. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Capital and Ownership Structure  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Empirical Studies of Trade  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financial Risk and Risk Management  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financing Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics  |2 imf 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2021/198 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/198/001.2021.issue-198-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library