Forecasting Social Unrest : A Machine Learning Approach /

We produce a social unrest risk index for 125 countries covering a period of 1996 to 2020. The risk of social unrest is based on the probability of unrest in the following year derived from a machine learning model drawing on over 340 indicators covering a wide range of macro-financial, socioeconomi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Redl, Chris
Other Authors: Hlatshwayo, Sandile
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/263
Subjects:
Online Access:Full text available on IMF