Beautiful Cycles : A Theory and a Model Implying a Curious Role for Interest /

Where do economic cycles come from? This paper contemplates an utmost minimalistic model and underlying theory that rest on two assumptions for letting them emerge endogenously: (1) the presence of interest-bearing debt; and (2) a degree of downward nominal wage rigidity. Despite its parsimony, the...

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מחבר ראשי: Gross, Marco
פורמט: כתב-עת
שפה:English
יצא לאור: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
סדרה:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/067
גישה מקוונת:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Gross, Marco. 
245 1 0 |a Beautiful Cycles :   |b A Theory and a Model Implying a Curious Role for Interest /  |c Marco Gross. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2021. 
300 |a 1 online resource (37 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a Where do economic cycles come from? This paper contemplates an utmost minimalistic model and underlying theory that rest on two assumptions for letting them emerge endogenously: (1) the presence of interest-bearing debt; and (2) a degree of downward nominal wage rigidity. Despite its parsimony, the model generates well-behaved, self-evolving limit cycles and replicates six essential empirical facts: (1) booms are long- while recessions short-lived; (2) leverage is procyclical; (3) firm profit and wage shares in GDP are counter- and procyclical, respectively; (4) Phillips curves are downward-sloping and convex, and Okun's law relation is replicated; (5) default cascades arise endogenously at the turning points to recessions; (6) lending spreads are countercyclical. One can refer to the model as being of a Dynamic Stochastic General Disequilibrium (DSGD) kind. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2021/067 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/067/001.2021.issue-067-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library