Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions : Evidence from U.S. Counties /

I use three decades of county-level data to estimate the effects of federal unemployment benefit extensions on economic activity. To overcome the reverse causality coming from the fact that benefit extensions are a function of state unemployment rates, I only use the within-state variation in outcom...

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Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Hellwig, Klaus-Peter
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/070
Предметы:
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Hellwig, Klaus-Peter. 
245 1 0 |a Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions :   |b Evidence from U.S. Counties /  |c Klaus-Peter Hellwig. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2021. 
300 |a 1 online resource (35 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a I use three decades of county-level data to estimate the effects of federal unemployment benefit extensions on economic activity. To overcome the reverse causality coming from the fact that benefit extensions are a function of state unemployment rates, I only use the within-state variation in outcomes to identify treatment effects. Identification rests on a differences-in-differences approach which exploits heterogeneity in county exposure to policy changes. To distinguish demand and supply-side channels, I estimate the model separately for tradable and non-tradable sectors. Finally I use benefit extensions as an instrument to estimate local fiscal multipliers of unemployment benefit transfers. I find (i) that the overall impact of benefit extensions on activity is positive, pointing to strong demand effects; (ii) that, even in tradable sectors, there are no negative supply-side effects from work disincentives; and (iii) a fiscal multiplier estimate of 1.92, similar to estimates in the literature for other types of spending. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Automatic Stabilizers  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Benefit Extension  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Fiscal Multiplier  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Labor Markets  |2 imf 
650 7 |a State UI Scheme  |2 imf 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2021/070 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/070/001.2021.issue-070-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library