The Impact of Political Uncertainty on Asset Prices : The Case of the United Kingdom's EU Membership Referendum.

How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 affect prices in financial markets? We study this using high frequency data from betting and financial markets. We find that a one percentage point increase in the probability o...

Πλήρης περιγραφή

Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Μορφή: Επιστημονικό περιοδικό
Γλώσσα:English
Έκδοση: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021.
Σειρά:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2021/027
Θέματα:
Διαθέσιμο Online:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 4 |a The Impact of Political Uncertainty on Asset Prices :   |b The Case of the United Kingdom's EU Membership Referendum. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2021. 
300 |a 1 online resource (50 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 affect prices in financial markets? We study this using high frequency data from betting and financial markets. We find that a one percentage point increase in the probability of "Leave" result caused British stocks (FTSE All-Share) to decline by 0.004 percent, and the Pound to depreciate by 0.006 percent against the euro. We find negative and significant effects for most sub-sectors, and negative spill-overs to other EU member countries. We show that the differential impact across sectors and countries can be explained by differences in the trade exposures. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Brexit  |2 imf 
650 7 |a EU Referendum  |2 imf 
650 7 |a High Frequency Data  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Political Uncertainty  |2 imf 
651 7 |a United Kingdom  |2 imf 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2021/027 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/027/001.2021.issue-027-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library