Confidence as a Driver of Private Investment in Selected Countries of Central America.

This paper argues that structural weaknesses may make private investment particularly sensitive to business confidence relative to other traditional investment drivers and global shocks. It gauges the importance of confidence over recent years in selected countries in Central America, including Cost...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/270
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Confidence as a Driver of Private Investment in Selected Countries of Central America. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2020. 
300 |a 1 online resource (31 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper argues that structural weaknesses may make private investment particularly sensitive to business confidence relative to other traditional investment drivers and global shocks. It gauges the importance of confidence over recent years in selected countries in Central America, including Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, and Guatemala. Using a vector error correction model to carry out the empirical work, a system representing global activity and the domestic economy, including a set of investment drivers (interest rates, unit labor costs, and confidence) is analyzed. The findings suggest that confidence has been, on average, the most important driver of investment in these countries, exceeded only by global factors. Since confidence, arguably, can be influenced by policymakers' decisions, structural reforms to improve the business climate and reduce uncertainty play an important role in promoting investment and economic growth. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Confidence  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Determinants Of Investment  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Uncertainty  |2 imf 
650 7 |a VAR  |2 imf 
650 7 |a VECM  |2 imf 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2020/270 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2020/270/001.2020.issue-270-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library