Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit /

An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders of manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of interna...

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Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Carton, Benjamin
Другие авторы: Hu, Nan, Mongardini, Joannes, Moriya, Kei
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/247
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF