The Great Lockdown : International Risk Sharing Through Trade and Policy Coordination /

Voluntary and government-mandated lockdowns in response to COVID-19 have caused causing drastic reductions in economic activity around the world. We present a parsimonious two-country-SIR model with some degree of substitutability between home and foreign goods, and show that trading partners'...

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Автор: Engler, Philipp
Інші автори: Pouokam, Nathalie, Rodriguez Guzman, Diego, Yakadina, Irina
Формат: Журнал
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Серія:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/242
Онлайн доступ:Full text available on IMF
Опис
Резюме:Voluntary and government-mandated lockdowns in response to COVID-19 have caused causing drastic reductions in economic activity around the world. We present a parsimonious two-country-SIR model with some degree of substitutability between home and foreign goods, and show that trading partners' asynchronous entries into the global pandemic induce mutual welfare gains from trade. Those gains are realized through exchange rate adjustments that cause a temporary reallocation of production towards the economy with the lowest infection rate at any point in time. We show that international cooperation over containment policies that aim at optimizing global welfare further enhances the ability of countries to exploit trade opportunities to contain the spread of the pandemic. We characterize the Nash game of strategic choices of containment policies as a prisoners' dilemma.
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Фізичний опис:1 online resource (29 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students