Exiting from Lockdowns : Early Evidence from Reopenings in Europe /

European authorities introduced stringent lockdown measures in early 2020 to reduce the transmission of COVID-19. As the first wave of infection curves flattened and the outbreak appeared controlled, most countries started to reopen their economies albeit using diverse strategies. This paper introdu...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Franks, Jeffrey
Autres auteurs: Gruss, Bertrand, Mulas-Granados, Carlos, Patnam, Manasa
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/218
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Franks, Jeffrey. 
245 1 0 |a Exiting from Lockdowns :   |b Early Evidence from Reopenings in Europe /  |c Jeffrey Franks, Bertrand Gruss, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Manasa Patnam. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2020. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 3 |a European authorities introduced stringent lockdown measures in early 2020 to reduce the transmission of COVID-19. As the first wave of infection curves flattened and the outbreak appeared controlled, most countries started to reopen their economies albeit using diverse strategies. This paper introduces a novel daily database of sectoral reopening measures in Europe during the first-wave and documents that country plans differed significantly in terms of timing, pace, and sequencing of sectoral reopening measures. We then show that reopenings led to a recovery in mobility-a proxy for economic activity-but at the cost of somewhat higher infections. However, the experience with reopening reveals some original dimensions of this trade-off. First, the increase in COVID-19 infections after reopening appears less severe in fatality rates. Second, a given reopening step is associated with a worse reinfection outcome in countries that started reopening earlier on the infection curve or that opened all sectors at a fast pace in a relatively short time. Finally, while opening measures tend to have an amplification effect on subsequent cases when a large fraction of the economy is already open, this effect appears heterogenous across sectors. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Gruss, Bertrand. 
700 1 |a Mulas-Granados, Carlos. 
700 1 |a Patnam, Manasa. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2020/218 
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