Mexico Needs a Fiscal Twist : Response to Covid-19 and Beyond /

Mexico's fiscal response to the pandemic has been modest compared to its peers, reflecting the authorities' desire to not issue new debt for spending. This approach, however, risks a more severe recession and a weaker economic recovery, with further costs in the future. Balancing the need...

Cijeli opis

Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Hannan, Swarnali
Daljnji autori: Honjo, Keiko, Raissi, Mehdi
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/215
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Sažetak:Mexico's fiscal response to the pandemic has been modest compared to its peers, reflecting the authorities' desire to not issue new debt for spending. This approach, however, risks a more severe recession and a weaker economic recovery, with further costs in the future. Balancing the need for stronger near-term fiscal support for the people and the recovery against medium-term discipline, this paper lays out an alternative strategy. We show that credibly announcing a pro-growth and inclusive medium-term fiscal reform upfront-including increased tax capacity, higher public investment and strengthened social safety nets-would open space for larger short-term support and close medium-term fiscal gaps. Model simulations suggest that this package would boost output, limit lasting economic damage from the pandemic, and put debt trajectory on a declining path in the medium term as tax reforms pay off and risk premia decline.
Opis djela:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Opis:1 online resource (33 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Pristup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students