A Vicious Cycle : How Pandemics Lead to Economic Despair and Social Unrest /

In this paper we analyze the dynamics among past major pandemics, economic growth, inequality, and social unrest. We provide evidence that past major pandemics, even though much smaller in scale than COVID-19, have led to a significant increase in social unrest by reducing output and increasing ineq...

Deskribapen osoa

Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Saadi Sedik, Tahsin
Beste egile batzuk: Xu, Rui
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/216
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF
Deskribapena
Gaia:In this paper we analyze the dynamics among past major pandemics, economic growth, inequality, and social unrest. We provide evidence that past major pandemics, even though much smaller in scale than COVID-19, have led to a significant increase in social unrest by reducing output and increasing inequality. We also find that higher social unrest, in turn, is associated with lower ourput and higher inequality, pointing to a vicious cycle. Our results suggest that without policy measures, the COVID-19 pandemic will likely increase inequality, trigger social unrest, and lower future output in the years to come.
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Deskribapen fisikoa:1 online resource (22 pages)
Formatua:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Sartu:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students