Predictive Density Aggregation : A Model for Global GDP Growth /

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Speci?cally, we mod...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
第一著者: Caselli, Francesca
その他の著者: Grigoli, Francesco, Lafarguette, Romain, Wang, Changchun
フォーマット: 雑誌
言語:English
出版事項: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
シリーズ:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/078
主題:
オンライン・アクセス:Full text available on IMF