Predictive Density Aggregation : A Model for Global GDP Growth /

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Speci?cally, we mod...

Cijeli opis

Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Caselli, Francesca
Daljnji autori: Grigoli, Francesco, Lafarguette, Romain, Wang, Changchun
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/078
Teme:
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF