Predictive Density Aggregation : A Model for Global GDP Growth /

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Speci?cally, we mod...

Täydet tiedot

Bibliografiset tiedot
Päätekijä: Caselli, Francesca
Muut tekijät: Grigoli, Francesco, Lafarguette, Romain, Wang, Changchun
Aineistotyyppi: Aikakauslehti
Kieli:English
Julkaistu: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Sarja:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/078
Aiheet:
Linkit:Full text available on IMF