Predictive Density Aggregation : A Model for Global GDP Growth /

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Speci?cally, we mod...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Caselli, Francesca
Awduron Eraill: Grigoli, Francesco, Lafarguette, Romain, Wang, Changchun
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/078
Pynciau:
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF