Credibility Dynamics and Disinflation Plans /

We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment. Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief that the Central bank is committed to the plan. Some plan...

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Príomhchruthaitheoir: Kostadinov, Rumen
Rannpháirtithe: Roldan, Francisco
Formáid: IRIS
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Sraith:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/085
Ábhair:
Rochtain ar líne:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Kostadinov, Rumen. 
245 1 0 |a Credibility Dynamics and Disinflation Plans /  |c Rumen Kostadinov, Francisco Roldan. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2020. 
300 |a 1 online resource (32 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment. Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief that the Central bank is committed to the plan. Some plans are harder to sustain: the planner recognizes that paving out future grounds with temptation leads the way for a negative drift of reputation in equilibrium. Plans that successfully create low inflationary expectations balance promises of lower inflation with dynamic incentives that make them more credible. When announcing the disinflation plan, the planner takes into account these anticipated interactions. We find that, even in the zero reputation limit, a gradual disinflation is preferred despite the absence of inflation inertia in the private economy. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
651 7 |a United States  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Roldan, Francisco. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2020/085 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2020/085/001.2020.issue-085-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library