Hysteresis and Business Cycles /

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Cerra, Valerie
مؤلفون آخرون: Fatas, A., Saxena, Sweta
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/073
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Hysteresis and Business Cycles /  |c Valerie Cerra, A. Fatas, Sweta Saxena. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 3 |a Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Fatas, A. 
700 1 |a Saxena, Sweta. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2020/073 
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