Systemic Risk Modeling : How Theory Can Meet Statistics /

We propose a framework to link empirical models of systemic risk to theoretical network/ general equilibrium models used to understand the channels of transmission of systemic risk. The theoretical model allows for systemic risk due to interbank counterparty risk, common asset exposures/fire sales,...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Espinoza, Raphael
Drugi avtorji: Segoviano, Miguel, Yan, Ji
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/054
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Espinoza, Raphael. 
245 1 0 |a Systemic Risk Modeling :   |b How Theory Can Meet Statistics /  |c Raphael Espinoza, Miguel Segoviano, Ji Yan. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2020. 
300 |a 1 online resource (39 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We propose a framework to link empirical models of systemic risk to theoretical network/ general equilibrium models used to understand the channels of transmission of systemic risk. The theoretical model allows for systemic risk due to interbank counterparty risk, common asset exposures/fire sales, and a 'Minsky" cycle of optimism. The empirical model uses stock market and CDS spreads data to estimate a multivariate density of equity returns and to compute the expected equity return for each bank, conditional on a bad macro-outcome. Theses 'cross-sectional" moments are used to re-calibrate the theoretical model and estimate the importance of the Minsky cycle of optimism in driving systemic risk. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Segoviano, Miguel. 
700 1 |a Yan, Ji. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2020/054 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2020/054/001.2020.issue-054-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library