Are Fund Staff Projections of Debt More Optimistic Under Program Contexts?.

This note examines whether projections made in the context of a Fund-supported program are systematically more optimistic than those done for surveillance cases. Of particular interest in this regard is the assessment of external debt sustainability, as this underlies the "capacity to repay the...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Erakunde egilea: International Monetary Fund
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Saila:Policy Papers; Policy Paper ; No. 2005/065
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a This note examines whether projections made in the context of a Fund-supported program are systematically more optimistic than those done for surveillance cases. Of particular interest in this regard is the assessment of external debt sustainability, as this underlies the "capacity to repay the Fund" analysis. Accordingly, this note examines debt projections over the period 1990-2004, with data for transition countries beginning in 1995. 
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