Precautionary Arrangements : Purposes and Performance.

This paper compares experience under precautionary and non-precautionary programs over the period 1992-2005, with a view to answering two questions: Are there systematic differences between precautionary and non-precautionary programs in terms of policies, conditionality, or macroeconomic outcomes?...

Szczegółowa specyfikacja

Opis bibliograficzny
Korporacja: International Monetary Fund
Format: Czasopismo
Język:English
Wydane: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Seria:Policy Papers; Policy Paper ; No. 2006/011
Dostęp online:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a This paper compares experience under precautionary and non-precautionary programs over the period 1992-2005, with a view to answering two questions: Are there systematic differences between precautionary and non-precautionary programs in terms of policies, conditionality, or macroeconomic outcomes? And, if so, are these attributable to the nature of the arrangement or to the economic problems facing the member and the circumstances that led it to seek the Fund's support? The paper finds that countries with weak initial macroeconomic performance tend to request drawing programs whereas those with stronger macroeconomic fundamentals, but facing economic uncertainties, favor precautionary programs. While significant differences exist in the behavior of key macroeconomic variables (output growth and inflation) at the outset of the programs, these differences tend to disappear over the following two to three years, and can be largely explained by the different initial conditions facing the member. 
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