The Nonlinear Relationship Between Public Debt and Sovereign Credit Ratings /

This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii) the...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij
Altri autori: Ricci, Luca
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/162
Soggetti:
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii) the negative debt-ratings relationship is nonlinear and depends on the rating grade itself; and iii) the identified nonlinearity explains the differential impact of debt on ratings in advanced economies versus in emerging markets and developing economies. These results hold for both gross debt and net debt, and are robust to alternative dependent variable definitions, analytical techniques, and empirical specifications. These findings underscore the potential for fiscal consolidation in helping countries achieve a better credit rating. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Debt-Ratings Relationship  |2 imf 
650 7 |a GDP Growth  |2 imf 
650 7 |a LIG Rating  |2 imf 
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650 7 |a WP  |2 imf 
651 7 |a United States  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Ricci, Luca. 
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