Assessing IMF Lending : a Model of Sample Selection /

Extending previous work on the determinants of IMF lending in an interconnected world, we introduce a model of sample selection in which both selection and size dimensions of individual IMF arrangements are presented within a unified econometric framework. We allow for unobserved heterogeneity to cr...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Mader, Nicolas
Drugi avtorji: Poulain, Jean-Guillaume, Reynaud, Julien
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/157
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Mader, Nicolas. 
245 1 0 |a Assessing IMF Lending :   |b a Model of Sample Selection /  |c Nicolas Mader, Jean-Guillaume Poulain, Julien Reynaud. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2019. 
300 |a 1 online resource (23 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a Extending previous work on the determinants of IMF lending in an interconnected world, we introduce a model of sample selection in which both selection and size dimensions of individual IMF arrangements are presented within a unified econometric framework. We allow for unobserved heterogeneity to create an additional channel for sample selection at the country level. The results suggest that higher external financing needs, larger exchange rate depreciation, lower GDP growth, as well as deteriorated global financial conditions, are associated with larger individual IMF arrangement sizes. Using the estimated parameters, Monte Carlo simulation of a wide spectrum of global shock scenarios suggest that the distribution of potential aggregate IMF lending exhibits a substantial right tail. Our approach may provide an insightful input to broader policy discussions on the adequacy of the IMF resources. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Poulain, Jean-Guillaume. 
700 1 |a Reynaud, Julien. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2019/157 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2019/157/001.2019.issue-157-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library