Hysteresis in Labor Markets? : Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts /

We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when employment rises unexpectedly, forecasters typically raise their long-term forecasts of e...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Bluedorn, John
Altri autori: Leigh, Daniel
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/114
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF